Together with Daphne Halikiopoulou, we have just published a new LSE blog on why knowing who is likely to vote for a party doesn’t explain a party’s success, summarising our recent article just out in the European Journal of Political Research. In the blog, we argue that improved data and methods have made it easier to understand how people’s attitudes shape their political preferences. Yet, drawing conclusions about national electoral outcomes from individual-level findings risks distorting how we interpret elections.
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