My research has been mentioned in the report of the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights, authored by Olivier De Schutter, It’s an excellent document well worth a read.
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Grey power, pension reforms and the politics of slow growth in Europe
Ageing populations and the power of the “grey vote” are undermining Europe’s economic growth, as I write in a recent LSE blog. Yet an ageing Europe need not be a stagnant one if policymakers confront the sources of the grey power trap.
Continue reading “Grey power, pension reforms and the politics of slow growth in Europe”New article “Ageing Advanced Capitalist Democracies” forthcoming in World Politics now on Research Gate
My forthcoming article “Ageing Advanced Capitalist Democracies: the new Electoral Politics of Economic Stagnation” in World Politics is now available on Research Gate.
Continue reading “New article “Ageing Advanced Capitalist Democracies” forthcoming in World Politics now on Research Gate”New LSE blog: Even honest research results can flip – a new approach to assessing robustness in the social sciences
Reposted from LSE Blog. When academic studies get things wrong, it is often blamed on misconduct and fraud. Yet, as we argue in a recent post with Michael Ganslmeier , even good-faith research, conducted using standard methods and transparent data, can produce contradictory conclusions.
Continue reading “New LSE blog: Even honest research results can flip – a new approach to assessing robustness in the social sciences”Taking stock of Welfare State Determinants: A new approach to assessing robustness in quantitative comparative research
By Michael Ganslmeier (University of Exeter) and Tim Vlandas (University of Oxford). First posted at SPA blog
The growth of quantitative comparative social policy research
Since Wilensky’s seminal work in 1975, the comparative welfare state literature has seen hundreds of quantitative studies exploring why some countries have more generous welfare states than others. Over time, the list of proposed determinants has grown substantially: economic growth and development, partisanship and party politics, globalisation and migration, union strength and economic coordination, political institution and fiscal capacity, and public opinion; to name just a few.
Continue reading “Taking stock of Welfare State Determinants: A new approach to assessing robustness in quantitative comparative research”New publication on estimating the Extent and Sources of Model Uncertainty in Political Science now out in PNAS
Together with Dr Michael Ganslmeier (University of Exeter), we have co-authored a new study published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), titled Estimating the Extent and Sources of Model Uncertainty in Political Science. The article addresses a fundamental challenge in empirical social science: the extent to which published findings depend on defensible but ultimately variable modelling decisions.
Continue reading “New publication on estimating the Extent and Sources of Model Uncertainty in Political Science now out in PNAS”How and why actual class decline leads to far-right party support
Does downward class mobility increase the likelihood of voting for far-right parties? If so, why, and through which mechanisms? How important is the group of downwardly mobile individuals for driving far-right party success? In a new article with Alexi Gugushvili and Daphne Halikiopoulou we argue that downward class mobility significantly affects far-right voting but only under specific conditions.
Continue reading “How and why actual class decline leads to far-right party support”Financial Times cites my research on ageing
The Financial Times has just cited my research on ageing, which has appeared in Political Quarterly, Political Research Exchange, and Nuffield College Political Science working papers. The very interesting piece, entitled “Is the rich world stuck in an ‘upper-income trap’?” lists ageing as one of the reasons for why advanced capitalist economies might be stuck in an ‘upper income trap’.
Research presentation in Rome for event organised by the S&D Group, FEPS, and the PES Group
I will be presenting the findings of my research (joint with Daphne Halikiopoulou) on 1 March 2024 at the Partito Democratico headquarters in Rome for the workshop, “Understanding right-wing populism and what to do about it.”
Continue reading “Research presentation in Rome for event organised by the S&D Group, FEPS, and the PES Group”The Economist quotes my research on ageing
My research on the political economy of ageing was cited in a great piece by The Economist on the future of the Labour Party
Tim Vlandas 
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