Blog

New article on Jihadist terrorist attacks and far right party preferences accepted in Perspectives on Politics

My joint article (with Halikiopoulou) entitled “Jihadist terrorist attacks and far right party preferences: An ‘unexpected event during survey design’ in four European countries” has now been accepted in Perspectives on Politics.

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New Political Quarterly article “From Gerontocracy to Gerontonomia”

One in five people in the EU and nearly one in ten in the world are now aged 65 and over. This demographic transformation is one of the great successes of the twentieth century and has been the focus of a large scholarship in the social sciences. Ageing has also profoundly altered the composition of electorates in many democracies. My new article for the political quarterly entitled “The Politics of Economic Stagnation in Ageing Democracies” explores whether and how this population ageing reshapes the relationship between democracy and capitalism. I argue that ageing changes the economic and policy priorities of a growing share of democracies’ electorates in ways that incentivise elected governments to prioritise certain social policies and economic outcomes, such as pensions and low inflation, at the expense of others, most notably greater social investments and pursuing economic growth. As a result, gerontocracies increasingly lead to what I call a ‘gerontonomia’ characterised by democratically sustained economic stagnation.

A summary of this article has appeared in the political quarterly blog and the LSE Europe blog. A more extensive version of this research project has been published as a Nuffield College working paper at the University of Oxford.

How Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has changed public opinion in Europe

The war between Russia and Ukraine has had a major impact on European politics, but how has it affected public opinion? Using data from the European Social Survey, Margaryta Klymak and I find in a recent LSE blog that the war has increased trust in politics in Europe, strengthened support for democracy and freedom, and fostered positive views of immigration and redistribution.

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New article on ‘Partisan Pandemic in UK’ just accepted at the European Journal of Political Research

Our research note (joint with M. Klymak) entitled “Partisan Pandemic in the UK: Individual views and mobility during Covid-19“ has just been accepted at the European Journal of Political Research.

The article asks what is the association between partisanship and individual views as well as behaviours towards the Covid-19 pandemic? We explore how and why there might be differences between distinct voter groups. The article addresses this question empirically using two datasets collected before and during pandemic: a daily survey covering nearly 100,000 individuals and county level mobility matched to UK 2019 general election results.

Our findings show that partisanship is strongly correlated with differences in both individual views and behaviours. Conservative voters were less likely to perceive Covid-19 as dangerous and to stay home during the national lockdown. The effect of the national lockdown on mobility was negative and statistically significant only in less Conservative counties.

Thus, partisanship is associated with pandemic-related individual views and behaviours even when there is broad consensus among main political parties and the government about nature of public health problem and appropriate solution to the pandemic.

Second review of “Foreign States in Domestic Markets”

Professor Moravcsik has just published in Foreign affairs the second review of my recent book Foreign States in Domestic Markets (joint with Professor Mark Thatcher and published with Oxford University Press).

It provides a succinct summary of the book and is generous in its overall assessment:

“The four case studies in this book offer basic data and succinct analysis of recent policies on this issue—which is sure to loom large as Western democracies ponder how to respond to the rising geoeconomic power of their global competitors.”

Moravcsik, A. (2022) Book review of ‘Foreign States in Domestic Markets: Sovereign Wealth Funds and the West” By Mark Thatcher and Tim Vlandas Oxford University Press, USA, 2022.’ Foreign Affairs, November/December 2022.